Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.021496 0.023095 0.024760 0.026625 0.028658 0.030810 0.033262
2024-10-13 0.018698 0.020978 0.023475 0.026423 0.029818 0.033616 0.038206
2024-10-20 0.016571 0.019192 0.022175 0.025836 0.030233 0.035370 0.041868
2024-10-27 0.015418 0.018331 0.021751 0.026088 0.031484 0.038026 0.046639
2024-11-03 0.014390 0.017489 0.021222 0.026092 0.032337 0.040155 0.050813
2024-11-10 0.013687 0.016963 0.021005 0.026411 0.033538 0.042728 0.055669
2024-11-17 0.012820 0.016157 0.020357 0.026100 0.033854 0.044116 0.058987
2024-11-24 0.012144 0.015544 0.019903 0.025985 0.034384 0.045774 0.062738
2024-12-01 0.011455 0.014865 0.019311 0.025629 0.034535 0.046884 0.065744
2024-12-08 0.010988 0.014451 0.019041 0.025681 0.035231 0.048770 0.069974
2024-12-15 0.010429 0.013880 0.018519 0.025339 0.035327 0.049773 0.072920
2024-12-22 0.009868 0.013275 0.017917 0.024842 0.035153 0.050343 0.075209
2024-12-29 0.009424 0.012818 0.017505 0.024601 0.035351 0.051494 0.078513
2025-01-05 0.009008 0.012381 0.017099 0.024345 0.035504 0.052575 0.081772
2025-01-12 0.008537 0.011844 0.016520 0.023797 0.035170 0.052860 0.083714
2025-01-19 0.008323 0.011667 0.016458 0.024022 0.036043 0.055101 0.089098
2025-01-26 0.008062 0.011410 0.016262 0.024025 0.036556 0.056776 0.093616
2025-02-02 0.007895 0.011282 0.016252 0.024314 0.037538 0.059275 0.099763
2025-02-09 0.007591 0.010936 0.015895 0.024032 0.037561 0.060149 0.103022
2025-02-16 0.007349 0.010676 0.015657 0.023927 0.037868 0.061518 0.107283
2025-02-23 0.007070 0.010347 0.015298 0.023605 0.037785 0.062193 0.110271
2025-03-02 0.006893 0.010169 0.015167 0.023651 0.038334 0.064012 0.115590
2025-03-09 0.006645 0.009869 0.014833 0.023341 0.038241 0.064662 0.118645